Monday, April 04, 2011

Safe MPs

During a discussion over the pros and cons of AV and FPTP (and PR) someone made the comment that AV was pointless as "it won't affect most MPs, only about a 100 or so". I replied that I didn't think that sounded right.

But it doesn't matter if it doesn't sound right to me, it only matters what the data shows and as it so happens I have the 2010 election results. The statement posed was that the majority of MPs won't be affected by AV as they've already polled over 50% of the vote; the results below show which didn't:

Party<50%=50%>50%
Speaker100
Alliance100
Conservative1800126
DUP800
Green100
Independent001
Labour181176
Liberal Democrat46011
Plaid Cymru300
Scottish National Party600
Sinn Fein302
Social Democratic and Labour Party300
4331216

That's 433 out of a total 650 MPs whose winning position might be affected by AV.

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