Safe MPs
During a discussion over the pros and cons of AV and FPTP (and PR) someone made the comment that AV was pointless as "it won't affect most MPs, only about a 100 or so". I replied that I didn't think that sounded right.
But it doesn't matter if it doesn't sound right to me, it only matters what the data shows and as it so happens I have the 2010 election results. The statement posed was that the majority of MPs won't be affected by AV as they've already polled over 50% of the vote; the results below show which didn't:
Party | <50% | =50% | >50% |
---|---|---|---|
Speaker | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Alliance | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Conservative | 180 | 0 | 126 |
DUP | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Green | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Labour | 181 | 1 | 76 |
Liberal Democrat | 46 | 0 | 11 |
Plaid Cymru | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Scottish National Party | 6 | 0 | 0 |
Sinn Fein | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Social Democratic and Labour Party | 3 | 0 | 0 |
433 | 1 | 216 |
That's 433 out of a total 650 MPs whose winning position might be affected by AV.
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